What will be the expected cut off for upsc prelims 2016? [ Prediction By Israel Zeba Singh Former IAS ]

Dear Friends,
After the Prelims exam the immediate question in everyone’s mind is WHAT WILL BE THE CUT OFF. If we look into yesterday’s General Studies Paper, as usual UPSC has retained it’s name as UnPredictable Service Commission. Traditional Polity, Economy, History and Geography questions were very less in number. In other words the static questions were less in number. It was more of Current Affairs.
When compared to previous years, Current issues were dominating the entire paper. Those who went with just static portion of Polity, History etc without reading Newspaper could have had a tough time. Usually Mains examination is dominated by current affairs and Prelims is dominated by static portions. However yesterday’s paper was a bit unconventional with greater weightage for Current Affairs.
Now the big question is, what can be the cut off. The factors I am considering are:
1. 2011 exam students and 2 year extension students impact which was there in 2015 exam is not present this year.
2. When we plot the students’ marks last year and this year (this year score is based on our Answer key),the marks have come down. Those who got say 135 marks last year are scoring around 125 marks this year).
3. New energetic aspirants have entered the competition like every year and pose a tough competition to the old timers.
Now going by the above facts, the CUT OFF should come down this year. As it was an unconventional paper many students would have had a tough time. However the CUT OFF in my view CANNOT DROP DOWN TOO MUCH because questions were very simple, direct from Current Affairs.
So the prediction for this year CUT OFF is
General Category- 105 Marks
OBC- 103 marks
SC/ST- 90 marks.
(The above marks are based on OFFICERS IAS ACADEMY’S Answer key. )
Those who have got few marks less than the above mentioned CUT OFF can still prepare for the Mains without waiting for the results because after all we are not UPSC to declare the exact CUT OFF.
Who clears the Mains is, those who start preparing immediately after Prelims without waiting for the result. Those who start early have an advantage of approximately 50 days more than those who start preparing for Mains after Prelims result.
So my advice is, START YOUR MAINS PREPARATION FROM TODAY IRRESPECTIVE OF YOUR PRELIMS SCORE . If you clear it will give you an advantage for this year Mains exam and even if you don’t clear it will give you an advantage for next year Mains.
Best Wishes for Mains.
R.A.Israel Jebasingh,
(2004 Batch IAS),
Officers IAS Academy,

Source: xaam.in

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  • kalyani

    For paper 1 I am scoring 96 and for paper 2- 56 🙁 too bad luck 🙁

    • pankaj singh

      It’s ok ,life doesn’t end

  • gaurav singh

    hello sir im scoring 114.67 bt there is lot of speculation i already appeared 2 mains examinations…i am very tensed…whether i should start for mains or not…

    • pankaj singh

      Same here dude,scoring 114, exactly,

    • You should have started from 8th august itself , dont waste a minute

    • chanakya

      same here bro….not able to concentrate…my mail id chanakya281@gmail.com